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(08-13-2019, 03:16 PM)JamesWright Wrote: (08-13-2019, 11:39 AM)lrrps21 Wrote: AOC a rock star? Reagan type trajectory? Reagan was a governor of CA before running for office. AOC was a bartender before she was 'inaugurated'.
Reagan won 49 states. AOC won with a total of 16,000 votes.
This comparing a tee ball team to the Yankees.
As they say in merry old England, it's early days. I try to predict things before they happen, not after. Do you think she will be a representative forever? I don't.
I don't think she'll win reelection if the dems get sick of her. 16,000 total votes is nothing for the dems to beat. In her own district the folks are already tired of her. Eating corn flakes on twitter is not going to convince the folks she was looking out for them when she told Amazon to take a hike. Then the campaign money issue will also be used against her as it was her #1 campaign talking point.
DC is a symptom, not the cause. The cause is basic voter stupidity and economic ignorance.
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08-13-2019, 08:35 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-13-2019, 08:37 PM by maize.)
She just went at Dave Portnoy and Barstool today. Dumb move.Â
[b]Dave Portnoyâ€Â [/b]@stoolpresidente
Follow Follow @[b]stoolpresidente [/b]
 More
Dave Portnoy Retweeted Donald Trump Jr.
When will Alexandria Oâ€CRAZIO Cortez @Aoc learn not to tangle with our countries Presidents? @realDonaldTrump
Dave Portnoy added,
[url=https://twitter.com/DonaldJTrumpJr/status/1161386070665248768][/url]
[b]Donald Trump Jr.[/b]Verified account @DonaldJTrumpJr
Picking a fight with @stoolpresidente and @barstoolsports is probably the biggest mistake @AOC has ever made on Twitter. https://twitter.com/stoolpresidente/status/1161330937931677696 …
2:34 PM - 13 Aug 2019
- [b]5,860[/b] Retweets
- [b]38,436[/b] Likes
1,536 replies 5,860 retweets 38,436 likes
 ReplyÂ
https://twitter.com/stoolpresidente/stat...5520082945
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The Democrats have a shot at taking Texas in 2020 also, just about the same as Trump has a shot at MN.
There is a chance the economy implodes and Trump gets blamed and the Dems enjoy a "sweep" of borderline states like NC and TX and even GA, not to mention FL and OH etc.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/13/us-bonds...iment.html
- The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was at 1.623%, below the 2-year yield at 1.634%.
- The last inversion of this part of the yield curve was in December 2005, two years before a recession brought on by the financial crisis hit.
- A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following such an inversion, according to Credit Suisse.
- The last five 2-10 inversions have eventually led to recessions.
- A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following a 2-10 inversion.
- The S&P 500 is up, on average, 12% one year after a 2-10 inversion.
- Itâ€s not until about 18 months after an inversion when the stock market usually turns and posts negative returns.
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This is not a perfect predictor of course, but has been a pretty good indicator:
Post WWII, inversions have predicted 7 of the last 9 recessions, according to Sung Won Sohn, professor of economics at Loyola Marymount University and president of SS Economics.
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Manufacturing is declining, farmers now average 1.3M in debt, exports are dwindling, the trade deficit is at record high, bond yields are upside down, budget deficit is skyrocketing the national debt is skyrocketing. Is this really the area that Trump wants to make the pillar of his campaign?
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He has no choice, there is nothing else he can make a pillar but the economy, aside from demonizing Democrats.
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If AOC doesn't win reelection, I will start sending out tweets like the whole freaking rest of the world.
I'm not worried though.
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(08-14-2019, 06:50 AM)cincydawg Wrote: The Democrats have a shot at taking Texas in 2020 also, just about the same as Trump has a shot at MN.
There is a chance the economy implodes and Trump gets blamed and the Dems enjoy a "sweep" of borderline states like NC and TX and even GA, not to mention FL and OH etc.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/13/us-bonds...iment.html
- The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was at 1.623%, below the 2-year yield at 1.634%.
- The last inversion of this part of the yield curve was in December 2005, two years before a recession brought on by the financial crisis hit.
- A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following such an inversion, according to Credit Suisse.
- The last five 2-10 inversions have eventually led to recessions.
- A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following a 2-10 inversion.
- The S&P 500 is up, on average, 12% one year after a 2-10 inversion.
- Itâ€s not until about 18 months after an inversion when the stock market usually turns and posts negative returns.
Hence my prediction of a recession to hit in October of 2020. Could happen before that. Voters make up their minds by July of the election year. It could be close.
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Recessions do happen, it's the way capitalism works.  The last recession which occurred under Bush transitioned to Obama...how exactly did he handle it?
Make America Honest Again
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Tax cuts and spending, and of course the Fed did some stuff.
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